Fire SlimesTier 2
at Mortal Ambition Regionals
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
6-5-0
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.3%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
49.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1268
· median 1268
· range 1168–1368
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
973
Q1 1161
Q3 1397
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.8% | -8.8 |
| Slimes | 11.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.1% | +5.9 |
| Water Allies | 11.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.4% | -3.4 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Wind Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
